Now, the odds that you will get diamonds exactly once in this many collections = the odds of getting diamonds once in any of these collections, multiplied by the ways you can get diamonds exactly once in this many collections. It is very unlikely you won't get diamonds even once given this many collections and wishing wells. Meaning that, given that 30 collections over 25 wishing wells, the odds of getting diamonds 1 or more times is about 1 - 0.0005325936 which is about 0.999467, or about 99.947%. There is a 0.03 % chance you will get 10 diamond payoutsĬlick to expand. There is a 0.13 % chance you will get 9 diamond payouts There is a 0.45 % chance you will get 8 diamond payouts There is a 1.36 % chance you will get 7 diamond payouts There is a 3.58 % chance you will get 6 diamond payouts There is a 8.03 % chance you will get 5 diamond payouts There is a 14.95 % chance you will get 4 diamond payouts There is a 22.17 % chance you will get 3 diamond payouts There is a 24.57 % chance you will get 2 diamond payouts There is a 18.08 % chance you will get 1 diamond payout There is a 6.63 % chance you will get 0 diamond payout I'm pretty sure my math is right, but I'd welcome anyone double checking.įor the original poster who had 9 wishing wells. To get diamonds just a single time in that month is 0.4% chance. So for you to get no diamonds in that month is a 0.05% chance. I've recorded several hundred collections since the summer event and am fairly certain it is around 1%. If you collected 30 different days in that month, you'd have 750 collections.
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